Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 415.010815 476.478054 546.410274 632.385691 735.951781 857.587628 1012.590185
2024-12-15 325.545958 403.591534 501.551532 635.607238 817.584801 1060.978089 1419.902798
2024-12-22 271.434349 353.094211 462.217282 622.503866 858.676156 1205.343268 1775.934971
2024-12-29 238.955007 322.880534 440.792557 624.341826 914.151144 1375.461711 2214.358596
2025-01-05 210.200520 292.562292 412.932510 609.257276 937.377971 1496.723300 2606.803537
2025-01-12 190.187582 271.744336 395.214846 605.323718 975.510898 1649.072380 3105.764105
2025-01-19 167.905454 244.637030 363.913237 573.540301 958.270420 1695.308436 3404.787796
2025-01-26 160.781607 240.020970 367.344628 600.486487 1051.579552 1976.677670 4337.207983
2025-02-02 156.248561 238.849505 375.968867 637.549068 1171.632775 2347.718668 5675.923145
2025-02-09 146.443871 227.864620 366.380192 639.019530 1219.433064 2571.947263 6740.068853
2025-02-16 134.891953 212.798202 347.896137 620.452163 1220.405827 2684.431635 7530.852466
2025-02-23 125.295924 200.253358 332.627149 606.092607 1227.922546 2816.090913 8469.616033
2025-03-02 121.021887 196.888664 334.253924 627.499825 1325.437223 3228.307466 10772.121127
2025-03-09 114.893505 189.674778 327.904501 631.229354 1381.751235 3547.706313 13012.562654
2025-03-16 107.511209 179.525795 314.816896 618.227094 1392.692500 3733.929702 14840.842524
2025-03-23 102.443250 173.251778 308.710512 620.049524 1443.502779 4070.867879 17829.315958
2025-03-30 96.156473 164.184330 296.120075 605.094072 1445.000955 4240.813568 20102.799748
2025-04-06 91.489234 157.875072 288.596770 601.194050 1477.635135 4540.267161 23645.668798
2025-04-13 84.691932 146.976148 270.627206 569.679600 1422.414025 4483.372557 24636.949948
2025-04-20 83.539450 147.068917 275.834709 596.397986 1551.242940 5229.947407 33295.099997
2025-04-27 83.167115 148.668959 284.418548 633.143087 1723.096664 6272.877584 47709.793504
2025-05-04 80.053042 144.472731 279.852779 634.600856 1778.161858 6809.983983 58629.986718
2025-05-11 75.720133 137.493980 268.486703 616.193221 1759.983571 6972.585283 65415.721977